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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 September 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 18
  5. 24
  6. 30
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 719 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-09-02All recent draws2020-09-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 14 18 24 30 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

591times
10116times
14107times
18112times
24

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-05

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 416k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$726.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$707.4K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$813.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

112times
30101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 718 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 10, 14, 18) with the draw of 3 February 2016 — its closest relative in 718 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus27≈ 19 by chanceNZ$13,561
  • Match 5687≈ 640 by chanceNZ$529
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,672≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 425,950≈ 26k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus35,370≈ 34k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3352,695≈ 353k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 687 winners, 7% more than the 640 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus27NZ$13,561
    Match 5687NZ$529
    Match 4 + Bonus1,672NZ$50.00
    Match 425,950NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus35,370NZ$20.00
    Match 3352,695NZ$0.00
    Totals416,406—