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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 August 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 37
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 714 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-08-15All recent draws2020-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 25 26 30 31 37 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each

13107times
25107times
26102times
30100times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 255k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$494.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$481K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$559.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

105times
37101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 713 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (13, 25, 26, 30, 31) with the draw of 19 November 2011 — its closest relative in 713 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 12 by chanceNZ$25,242
  • Match 5366≈ 392 by chanceNZ$684
  • Match 4 + Bonus985≈ 980 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 416,481≈ 16k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,915≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3216,073≈ 216k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,481 winners, 5% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$25,242
    Match 5366NZ$684
    Match 4 + Bonus985NZ$58.00
    Match 416,481NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,915NZ$23.00
    Match 3216,073NZ$0.00
    Totals254,831—