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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 July 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 29
  6. 34
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 704 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-07-11All recent draws2020-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 16 19 29 34 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

10111times
1199times
16101times
19125times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 255k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$237.4K
  • Match 432%NZ$465.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$468.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$289.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
3495times

Every number was expected about that many times after 703 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 11, 19, 34) with the draw of 25 January 2020 — its closest relative in 703 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2020): 16, 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 12 by chanceNZ$14,837
  • Match 5363≈ 392 by chanceNZ$649
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,083≈ 981 by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 415,503≈ 16k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,291≈ 21k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3216,311≈ 216k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,083 winners, 10% more than the 981 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$14,837
    Match 5363NZ$649
    Match 4 + Bonus1,083NZ$50.00
    Match 415,503NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,291NZ$22.00
    Match 3216,311NZ$0.00
    Totals254,567—