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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 July 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 7
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 30
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 701 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-07-01All recent draws2020-07-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 7 23 25 30 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

2112times
698times
7106times
23108times
25

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 294k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$520.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$498.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$573.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

105times
3098times

Every number was expected about that many times after 700 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 6, 23, 25) with the draw of 8 January 2020 — its closest relative in 700 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2020): 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 14 by chanceNZ$15,214
  • Match 5445≈ 458 by chanceNZ$576
  • Match 4 + Bonus999≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 417,940≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,681≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3252,522≈ 253k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 999 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$15,214
    Match 5445NZ$576
    Match 4 + Bonus999NZ$59.00
    Match 417,940NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,681NZ$23.00
    Match 3252,522NZ$0.00
    Totals293,606—