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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 687 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-05-13All recent draws2020-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 20 26 31 34 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

10107times
15120times
20101times
26101times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 225k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$447.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$432.5K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$500.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

100times
3492times

Every number was expected about that many times after 686 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 20, 26, 31) with the draw of 11 August 2012 — its closest relative in 686 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2020): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 10 by chanceNZ$20,487
  • Match 5348≈ 342 by chanceNZ$642
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,056≈ 856 by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 413,551≈ 14k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,627≈ 18k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3188,740≈ 189k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,056 winners, 23% more than the 856 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$20,487
    Match 5348NZ$642
    Match 4 + Bonus1,056NZ$49.00
    Match 413,551NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,627NZ$20.00
    Match 3188,740NZ$0.00
    Totals225,334—