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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 March 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 40
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 668 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-03-07All recent draws2020-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 21 22 29 40 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

892times
13103times
21101times
22106times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 198k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 648%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$352.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$339K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$391K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

99times
4098times

Every number was expected about that many times after 667 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 22, 29, 40) with the draw of 11 January 2017 — its closest relative in 667 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 9.3 by chanceNZ$17,613
  • Match 5309≈ 308 by chanceNZ$565
  • Match 4 + Bonus733≈ 770 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 412,594≈ 12k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,740≈ 16k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3169,811≈ 170k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 14,740 winners, 10% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$17,613
    Match 5309NZ$565
    Match 4 + Bonus733NZ$55.00
    Match 412,594NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,740NZ$23.00
    Match 3169,811NZ$0.00
    Totals198,198—