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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 26 February 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 21
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 664 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-02-22All recent draws2020-02-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 8 21 30 33 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

80oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 80 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each

2104times
398times
891times
21100times
30

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-26

  • Lines in play≈ 22Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.2Mto 734k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 5.7

Where the money went

  • Match 619%NZ$1M
  • Match 426%NZ$1.4M
  • Match 3 + Bonus26%NZ$1.3M
  • 3 other tiers29%NZ$1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 5.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
3397times

Every number was expected about that many times after 663 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 8, 21, 30) with the draw of 16 January 2019 — its closest relative in 663 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2020): 8 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus38≈ 34 by chanceNZ$17,898
  • Match 51,123≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$601
  • Match 4 + Bonus3,087≈ 2.8k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 445,206≈ 45k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus63,822≈ 60k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3620,620≈ 621k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 3,087 winners, 10% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus38NZ$17,898
    Match 51,123NZ$601
    Match 4 + Bonus3,087NZ$50.00
    Match 445,206NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus63,822NZ$21.00
    Match 3620,620NZ$0.00
    Totals733,902—