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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 February 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 24
  6. 38
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 659 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-02-05All recent draws2020-02-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 14 15 24 38 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each

12100times
13102times
14101times
15116times
24

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 370k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 632%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$703.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$679.6K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$788.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

103times
3885times

Every number was expected about that many times after 658 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 14, 15, 38) with the draw of 4 April 2018 — its closest relative in 658 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 February 2020): 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 13–14, 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 17 by chanceNZ$29,616
  • Match 5582≈ 575 by chanceNZ$606
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,295≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 422,688≈ 23k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,317≈ 31k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3317,117≈ 317k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,295 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$29,616
    Match 5582NZ$606
    Match 4 + Bonus1,295NZ$62.00
    Match 422,688NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,317NZ$24.00
    Match 3317,117NZ$0.00
    Totals370,012—