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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 January 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 24
  5. 28
  6. 34
  7. 29

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 655 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-01-22All recent draws2020-01-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 19 24 28 34 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each

10102times
1190times
19119times
24101times
28

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 300k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$276K
  • Match 433%NZ$552.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$531.2K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$336.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

93times
3491times

Every number was expected about that many times after 654 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 24, 28, 34) with the draw of 28 December 2019 — its closest relative in 654 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 14 by chanceNZ$25,095
  • Match 5428≈ 464 by chanceNZ$640
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,114≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 418,409≈ 19k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,146≈ 25k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3255,916≈ 256k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,114 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$25,095
    Match 5428NZ$640
    Match 4 + Bonus1,114NZ$56.00
    Match 418,409NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,146NZ$22.00
    Match 3255,916NZ$0.00
    Totals0—