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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 January 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 23
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 648 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-12-28All recent draws2020-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 23 33 34 38 40 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

1499times
23101times
3394times
3489times
38

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 189k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 646%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$381.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$370.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$428.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

84times
4093times

Every number was expected about that many times after 647 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (33, 34, 38, 40) with the draw of 16 January 2016 — its closest relative in 647 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2019): 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 8.9 by chanceNZ$14,847
  • Match 5268≈ 293 by chanceNZ$714
  • Match 4 + Bonus732≈ 732 by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 411,560≈ 12k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,445≈ 16k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3161,303≈ 161k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 11,560 winners, 1% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$14,847
    Match 5268NZ$714
    Match 4 + Bonus732NZ$60.00
    Match 411,560NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,445NZ$24.00
    Match 3161,303NZ$0.00
    Totals0—