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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 October 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 27
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 625 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-10-09All recent draws2019-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 23 25 27 30 40 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each

19113times
2396times
2592times
2787times
30

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 19Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.6Mto 628k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 4.9

Where the money went

  • Match 622%NZ$1M
  • Match 425%NZ$1.1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus25%NZ$1.1M
  • 3 other tiers28%NZ$1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 4.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
4092times

Every number was expected about that many times after 624 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 23, 25, 40) with the draw of 9 May 2018 — its closest relative in 624 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2019): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus26≈ 30 by chanceNZ$22,419
  • Match 5972≈ 974 by chanceNZ$595
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,342≈ 2.4k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 438,258≈ 39k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus49,544≈ 52k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3536,863≈ 537k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 49,544 winners, 5% fewer than the 52k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus26NZ$22,419
    Match 5972NZ$595
    Match 4 + Bonus2,342NZ$57.00
    Match 438,258NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus49,544NZ$23.00
    Match 3536,863NZ$0.00
    Totals0—