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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 August 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 10
  4. 12
  5. 29
  6. 32
  7. 19

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 609 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-08-14All recent draws2019-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 10 12 29 32 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

1101times
676times
1097times
1295times
29

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 300k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$530.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$531.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$597.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
3292times

Every number was expected about that many times after 608 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 6, 12, 29) with the draw of 6 July 2016 — its closest relative in 608 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 14 by chanceNZ$16,841
  • Match 5453≈ 459 by chanceNZ$590
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,270≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 418,278≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,592≈ 24k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3253,121≈ 253k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,270 winners, 11% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$16,841
    Match 5453NZ$590
    Match 4 + Bonus1,270NZ$48.00
    Match 418,278NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,592NZ$20.00
    Match 3253,121NZ$0.00
    Totals0—