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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 May 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 20
  5. 24
  6. 25
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 583 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-05-15All recent draws2019-05-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 12 20 24 25 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

991times
1088times
1290times
2082times
24

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 284k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$242.5K
  • Match 432%NZ$479.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$460.2K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$295.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
2584times

Every number was expected about that many times after 582 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 20, 24, 25) with the draw of 11 October 2014 — its closest relative in 582 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 13 by chanceNZ$15,156
  • Match 5466≈ 433 by chanceNZ$516
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,228≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 417,755≈ 17k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,566≈ 23k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3238,649≈ 239k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,228 winners, 13% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$15,156
    Match 5466NZ$516
    Match 4 + Bonus1,228NZ$45.00
    Match 417,755NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,566NZ$18.00
    Match 3238,649NZ$0.00
    Totals0—