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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 May 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 11
  5. 19
  6. 28
  7. 38

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 580 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-05-04All recent draws2019-05-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 9 11 19 28 + 3829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

783times
881times
990times
1182times
19

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-08

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 197k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$292.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$287.8K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$328.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

103times
2881times

Every number was expected about that many times after 579 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 19, 28) with the draw of 15 February 2014 — its closest relative in 579 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 9.3 by chanceNZ$13,453
  • Match 5378≈ 306 by chanceNZ$388
  • Match 4 + Bonus659≈ 765 by chanceNZ$51.00
  • Match 413,914≈ 12k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,704≈ 16k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3168,702≈ 169k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 13,704 winners, 16% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$13,453
    Match 5378NZ$388
    Match 4 + Bonus659NZ$51.00
    Match 413,914NZ$21.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,704NZ$21.00
    Match 3168,702NZ$0.00
    Totals0—