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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 January 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 25
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 552 of 1,357 under them

← 2019-01-26All recent draws2019-02-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 22 25 38 40 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

285times
1788times
2282times
2581times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$282.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$276K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$312K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
4083times

Every number was expected about that many times after 551 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 25, 40) with the draw of 21 November 2018 — its closest relative in 551 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 January 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 6.8 by chanceNZ$28,111
  • Match 5198≈ 224 by chanceNZ$704
  • Match 4 + Bonus562≈ 559 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 48,547≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,546≈ 12k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3123,279≈ 123k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 12,546 winners, 5% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$28,111
    Match 5198NZ$704
    Match 4 + Bonus562NZ$57.00
    Match 48,547NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,546NZ$22.00
    Match 3123,279NZ$0.00
    Totals0—