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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 January 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 24
  6. 40
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 547 of 1,357 under them

← 2019-01-09All recent draws2019-01-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 18 19 24 40 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

479times
668times
1894times
1998times
24

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.4Mto 263k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$226.7K
  • Match 432%NZ$447.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$432.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$276.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
4081times

Every number was expected about that many times after 546 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 40) with the draw of 9 January 2019 — its closest relative in 546 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2019): 4, 6, 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$16,196
  • Match 5427≈ 406 by chanceNZ$527
  • Match 4 + Bonus943≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 416,587≈ 16k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,623≈ 22k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3223,598≈ 224k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 943 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$16,196
    Match 5427NZ$527
    Match 4 + Bonus943NZ$55.00
    Match 416,587NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,623NZ$20.00
    Match 3223,598NZ$0.00
    Totals0—