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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 40
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 539 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-12-12All recent draws2018-12-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 18 22 29 40 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

570times
775times
1893times
2278times
29

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 307k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$523.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$516.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$582.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

84times
4078times

Every number was expected about that many times after 538 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 22, 40) with the draw of 21 November 2018 — its closest relative in 538 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 December 2018): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,757
  • Match 5500≈ 474 by chanceNZ$521
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,105≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 419,397≈ 19k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,616≈ 25k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3261,439≈ 261k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,105 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,757
    Match 5500NZ$521
    Match 4 + Bonus1,105NZ$54.00
    Match 419,397NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,616NZ$21.00
    Match 3261,439NZ$0.00
    Totals0—