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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 31 October 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 16
  6. 32
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 526 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-10-27All recent draws2018-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 14 15 16 32 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

1076times
1175times
1486times
1595times
16

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1Mto 170k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$162.9K
  • Match 432%NZ$324.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$315.8K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$198.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3278times

Every number was expected about that many times after 525 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 14, 15, 32) with the draw of 18 October 2017 — its closest relative in 525 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2018): 10, 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 14–15, 15–16. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus3≈ 8.0 by chanceNZ$54,293
  • Match 5258≈ 265 by chanceNZ$626
  • Match 4 + Bonus504≈ 662 by chanceNZ$74.00
  • Match 410,469≈ 11k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,630≈ 14k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3145,861≈ 146k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 504 winners, 24% fewer than the 662 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus3NZ$54,293
    Match 5258NZ$626
    Match 4 + Bonus504NZ$74.00
    Match 410,469NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,630NZ$25.00
    Match 3145,861NZ$0.00
    Totals0—