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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 24 October 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 524 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-10-20All recent draws2018-10-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 19 24 33 37 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

983times
1996times
2477times
3379times
37

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 151k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$288.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$283.5K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$323.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3973times

Every number was expected about that many times after 523 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 33, 39) with the draw of 18 July 2018 — its closest relative in 523 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 7.0 by chanceNZ$29,171
  • Match 5302≈ 232 by chanceNZ$479
  • Match 4 + Bonus550≈ 581 by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 49,315≈ 9.3k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,325≈ 12k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3128,097≈ 128k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 550 winners, 5% fewer than the 581 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$29,171
    Match 5302NZ$479
    Match 4 + Bonus550NZ$60.00
    Match 49,315NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,325NZ$23.00
    Match 3128,097NZ$0.00
    Totals0—