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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 October 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 33
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 522 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-10-13All recent draws2018-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 17 21 26 33 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

568times
1074times
1785times
2178times
26

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 157k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 654%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$278.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$274.2K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$316.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
3378times

Every number was expected about that many times after 521 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 17, 21) with the draw of 28 July 2018 — its closest relative in 521 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2018): 5, 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus3≈ 7.3 by chanceNZ$47,578
  • Match 5244≈ 242 by chanceNZ$580
  • Match 4 + Bonus670≈ 604 by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 49,601≈ 9.7k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,056≈ 13k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3133,119≈ 133k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 670 winners, 11% more than the 604 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus3NZ$47,578
    Match 5244NZ$580
    Match 4 + Bonus670NZ$48.00
    Match 49,601NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,056NZ$21.00
    Match 3133,119NZ$0.00
    Totals0—