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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 September 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 12
  5. 15
  6. 17
  7. 19

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 513 of 1,359 under them

← 2018-09-12All recent draws2018-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 8 12 15 17 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd50th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

279times
771times
869times
1279times
15

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 271k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 643%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$427K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$407.5K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$476.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

92times
1784times

Every number was expected about that many times after 512 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 8, 12) with the draw of 29 August 2018 — its closest relative in 512 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2018): 8 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

61

The numbers add up to 61 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$15,344
  • Match 5463≈ 413 by chanceNZ$460
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,178≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$41.00
  • Match 417,791≈ 17k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,971≈ 22k by chanceNZ$17.00
  • Match 3227,559≈ 228k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,178 winners, 14% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$15,344
    Match 5463NZ$460
    Match 4 + Bonus1,178NZ$41.00
    Match 417,791NZ$24.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,971NZ$17.00
    Match 3227,559NZ$0.00
    Totals0—