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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 12
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 497 of 1,358 under them

← 2018-07-18All recent draws2018-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 10 12 31 34 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

182times
864times
1070times
1275times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 268k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$484.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$468.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$546.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
3469times

Every number was expected about that many times after 496 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 12, 34) with the draw of 28 March 2018 — its closest relative in 496 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 13 by chanceNZ$22,377
  • Match 5374≈ 414 by chanceNZ$653
  • Match 4 + Bonus988≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 416,150≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,307≈ 22k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3227,930≈ 228k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 988 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$22,377
    Match 5374NZ$653
    Match 4 + Bonus988NZ$57.00
    Match 416,150NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,307NZ$21.00
    Match 3227,930NZ$0.00
    Totals0—