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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 19
  6. 33
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 495 of 1,358 under them

← 2018-07-11All recent draws2018-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 17 18 19 33 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

561times
1483times
1781times
1883times
19

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 262k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$465.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$462.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$527.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

91times
3374times

Every number was expected about that many times after 494 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 18, 19) with the draw of 16 December 2015 — its closest relative in 494 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2018): 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18, 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 12 by chanceNZ$21,578
  • Match 5416≈ 404 by chanceNZ$566
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,005≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 416,051≈ 16k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,031≈ 22k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3222,419≈ 222k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 22,031 winners, 2% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$21,578
    Match 5416NZ$566
    Match 4 + Bonus1,005NZ$54.00
    Match 416,051NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,031NZ$21.00
    Match 3222,419NZ$0.00
    Totals0—