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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 May 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 28
  6. 29
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 478 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-05-12All recent draws2018-05-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 13 14 16 28 29 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

179times
1377times
1478times
1670times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 158k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$283.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$275.5K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$320.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
2973times

Every number was expected about that many times after 477 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 13, 14) with the draw of 4 April 2018 — its closest relative in 477 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14, 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 7.5 by chanceNZ$28,840
  • Match 5248≈ 246 by chanceNZ$577
  • Match 4 + Bonus512≈ 615 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 49,780≈ 9.8k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,480≈ 13k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3135,644≈ 136k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 512 winners, 17% fewer than the 615 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$28,840
    Match 5248NZ$577
    Match 4 + Bonus512NZ$64.00
    Match 49,780NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,480NZ$24.00
    Match 3135,644NZ$0.00
    Totals0—