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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 May 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 29
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 474 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-04-28All recent draws2018-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 8 25 28 29 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

272times
766times
861times
2567times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 204k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$359.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$348.7K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$398.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
2972times

Every number was expected about that many times after 473 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 8, 25) with the draw of 28 July 2012 — its closest relative in 473 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 April 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 9.4 by chanceNZ$22,438
  • Match 5308≈ 311 by chanceNZ$578
  • Match 4 + Bonus910≈ 778 by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 412,407≈ 12k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,353≈ 17k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3171,519≈ 172k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 910 winners, 17% more than the 778 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$22,438
    Match 5308NZ$578
    Match 4 + Bonus910NZ$45.00
    Match 412,407NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,353NZ$19.00
    Match 3171,519NZ$0.00
    Totals0—