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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 March 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 29
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 462 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-03-17All recent draws2018-03-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 14 29 35 38 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

973times
1374times
1475times
2971times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 141k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$286.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$273.2K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$319.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

73times
3860times

Every number was expected about that many times after 461 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 14, 35) with the draw of 19 July 2017 — its closest relative in 461 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 6.6 by chanceNZ$20,553
  • Match 5218≈ 216 by chanceNZ$655
  • Match 4 + Bonus569≈ 540 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 48,438≈ 8.6k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,419≈ 12k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3119,132≈ 119k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 12,419 winners, 8% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$20,553
    Match 5218NZ$655
    Match 4 + Bonus569NZ$58.00
    Match 48,438NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,419NZ$22.00
    Match 3119,132NZ$0.00
    Totals0—