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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 14 March 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 18
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 24
  6. 28
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 460 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-03-10All recent draws2018-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 18 19 20 24 28 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

1776times
1875times
1985times
2064times
24

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 180k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 649%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$325.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$327.8K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$367.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

68times
2867times

Every number was expected about that many times after 459 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 18, 19, 20) with the draw of 18 November 2015 — its closest relative in 459 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18, 18–19, 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 8.4 by chanceNZ$18,399
  • Match 5314≈ 278 by chanceNZ$523
  • Match 4 + Bonus711≈ 696 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 411,639≈ 11k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,252≈ 15k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3153,471≈ 153k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 11,639 winners, 4% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$18,399
    Match 5314NZ$523
    Match 4 + Bonus711NZ$53.00
    Match 411,639NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,252NZ$23.00
    Match 3153,471NZ$0.00
    Totals0—