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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 February 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 38
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 449 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-01-31All recent draws2018-02-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 15 29 30 38 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

266times
1167times
1580times
2967times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 324k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$625.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$607.7K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$703.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
3858times

Every number was expected about that many times after 448 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 29, 38) with the draw of 23 December 2017 — its closest relative in 448 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2018): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$22,635
  • Match 5502≈ 504 by chanceNZ$626
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,094≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 420,175≈ 20k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,306≈ 27k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3277,767≈ 278k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,094 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$22,635
    Match 5502NZ$626
    Match 4 + Bonus1,094NZ$66.00
    Match 420,175NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,306NZ$25.00
    Match 3277,767NZ$0.00
    Totals0—