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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 January 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 22
  6. 23
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 444 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-01-13All recent draws2018-01-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 18 19 22 23 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

371times
1579times
1873times
1982times
22

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 195k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 649%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$330.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$333K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$376.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
2364times

Every number was expected about that many times after 443 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 19, 22, 23) with the draw of 25 October 2017 — its closest relative in 443 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2018): 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 9.1 by chanceNZ$18,832
  • Match 5323≈ 301 by chanceNZ$520
  • Match 4 + Bonus792≈ 752 by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 412,240≈ 12k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,858≈ 16k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3165,832≈ 166k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 792 winners, 5% more than the 752 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$18,832
    Match 5323NZ$520
    Match 4 + Bonus792NZ$49.00
    Match 412,240NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,858NZ$21.00
    Match 3165,832NZ$0.00
    Totals0—