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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 8
  5. 16
  6. 26
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 442 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-01-06All recent draws2018-01-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 4 8 16 26 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

171times
265times
460times
859times
16

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.0Mto 191k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 651%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$311.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$308.4K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$352.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
2671times

Every number was expected about that many times after 441 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 8, 26) with the draw of 2 August 2017 — its closest relative in 441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

57

The numbers add up to 57 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 9.0 by chanceNZ$26,473
  • Match 5395≈ 297 by chanceNZ$399
  • Match 4 + Bonus645≈ 743 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 412,976≈ 12k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,408≈ 16k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3163,850≈ 164k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 13,408 winners, 15% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$26,473
    Match 5395NZ$399
    Match 4 + Bonus645NZ$56.00
    Match 412,976NZ$24.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,408NZ$23.00
    Match 3163,850NZ$0.00
    Totals0—