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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 January 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 440 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-12-30All recent draws2018-01-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 20 21 34 35 38 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

858times
2060times
2167times
3457times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$965.7Kto 147k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$156.8K
  • Match 432%NZ$310.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$307.3K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$191.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
3857times

Every number was expected about that many times after 439 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 21, 35) with the draw of 1 July 2017 — its closest relative in 439 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2017): 20, 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 6.9 by chanceNZ$26,137
  • Match 5189≈ 227 by chanceNZ$823
  • Match 4 + Bonus587≈ 569 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 48,619≈ 9.1k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,291≈ 12k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3125,347≈ 125k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 8,619 winners, 5% fewer than the 9.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$26,137
    Match 5189NZ$823
    Match 4 + Bonus587NZ$61.00
    Match 48,619NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,291NZ$25.00
    Match 3125,347NZ$0.00
    Totals0—