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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 December 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 15
  5. 16
  6. 22
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 433 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-12-06All recent draws2017-12-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 8 15 16 22 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 December 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

459times
556times
857times
1575times
16

Prize breakdown · 2017-12-09

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 263k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$449.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$428.2K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$500.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
2259times

Every number was expected about that many times after 432 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 15, 22) with the draw of 21 October 2017 — its closest relative in 432 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 December 2017): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 15–16. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 12 by chanceNZ$28,194
  • Match 5403≈ 405 by chanceNZ$555
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,044≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 416,644≈ 16k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,410≈ 22k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3223,164≈ 223k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,044 winners, 3% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$28,194
    Match 5403NZ$555
    Match 4 + Bonus1,044NZ$49.00
    Match 416,644NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,410NZ$20.00
    Match 3223,164NZ$0.00
    Totals0—