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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 18 October 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 22
  6. 32
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 418 of 1,357 under them

← 2017-10-14All recent draws2017-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 14 15 22 32 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

1161times
1370times
1468times
1571times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 201k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 646%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$372.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$372.3K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$417.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

55times
3264times

Every number was expected about that many times after 417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 22, 32) with the draw of 11 March 2017 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2017): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14, 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 9.4 by chanceNZ$37,607
  • Match 5256≈ 310 by chanceNZ$728
  • Match 4 + Bonus796≈ 775 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 412,402≈ 12k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,922≈ 17k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3170,817≈ 171k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 796 winners, 3% more than the 775 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$37,607
    Match 5256NZ$728
    Match 4 + Bonus796NZ$54.00
    Match 412,402NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,922NZ$22.00
    Match 3170,817NZ$0.00
    Totals0—