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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 October 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 416 of 1,357 under them

← 2017-10-07All recent draws2017-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 24 29 33 35 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

457times
1570times
2463times
2961times
33

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 649%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$333.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$329K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$371.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
3568times

Every number was expected about that many times after 415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 29, 33, 35) with the draw of 26 August 2017 — its closest relative in 415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2017): 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 7.7 by chanceNZ$23,934
  • Match 5243≈ 253 by chanceNZ$684
  • Match 4 + Bonus576≈ 633 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 49,804≈ 10k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,160≈ 14k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3139,623≈ 140k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 576 winners, 9% fewer than the 633 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$23,934
    Match 5243NZ$684
    Match 4 + Bonus576NZ$66.00
    Match 49,804NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,160NZ$25.00
    Match 3139,623NZ$0.00
    Totals0—