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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 21
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 414 of 1,357 under them

← 2017-09-30All recent draws2017-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 5 21 33 37 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

262times
361times
551times
2163times
33

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 164k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 651%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$311.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$298.5K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$345.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

62times
3760times

Every number was expected about that many times after 413 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 33, 37) with the draw of 17 June 2017 — its closest relative in 413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 7.8 by chanceNZ$17,288
  • Match 5216≈ 256 by chanceNZ$714
  • Match 4 + Bonus557≈ 640 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 49,736≈ 10k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,980≈ 14k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3140,992≈ 141k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 557 winners, 13% fewer than the 640 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$17,288
    Match 5216NZ$714
    Match 4 + Bonus557NZ$64.00
    Match 49,736NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,980NZ$23.00
    Match 3140,992NZ$0.00
    Totals0—