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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 July 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 34
  5. 37
  6. 40
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 391 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-07-12All recent draws2017-07-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 18 21 34 37 40 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

1765times
1867times
2158times
3450times
37

Prize breakdown · 2017-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 230k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$462.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$456.5K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$519.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
4059times

Every number was expected about that many times after 390 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 21, 37, 40) with the draw of 20 June 2015 — its closest relative in 390 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2017): 18, 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 11 by chanceNZ$13,003
  • Match 5354≈ 356 by chanceNZ$656
  • Match 4 + Bonus790≈ 890 by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 413,600≈ 14k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,022≈ 19k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3196,111≈ 196k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 790 winners, 11% fewer than the 890 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$13,003
    Match 5354NZ$656
    Match 4 + Bonus790NZ$67.00
    Match 413,600NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,022NZ$24.00
    Match 3196,111NZ$0.00
    Totals0—