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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 July 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 12
  5. 21
  6. 35
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 387 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-06-28All recent draws2017-07-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 10 12 21 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

450times
852times
1051times
1254times
21

Prize breakdown · 2017-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 276k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$480.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$476.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$543.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
3559times

Every number was expected about that many times after 386 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 12, 21, 35) with the draw of 11 November 2015 — its closest relative in 386 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 June 2017): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 13 by chanceNZ$14,417
  • Match 5447≈ 423 by chanceNZ$544
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,158≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 417,808≈ 17k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,820≈ 23k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3233,009≈ 233k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,158 winners, 10% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$14,417
    Match 5447NZ$544
    Match 4 + Bonus1,158NZ$48.00
    Match 417,808NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,820NZ$20.00
    Match 3233,009NZ$0.00
    Totals0—