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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 May 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 28
  6. 30
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 374 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-05-13All recent draws2017-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 11 12 28 30 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

960times
1049times
1156times
1252times
28

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 7.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 249k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 643%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$437.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$431.0K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$483.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
3055times

Every number was expected about that many times after 373 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 11, 12) with the draw of 11 March 2017 — its closest relative in 373 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 10–11, 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 6.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 12 by chanceNZ$19,800
  • Match 5382≈ 383 by chanceNZ$565
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,007≈ 957 by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 416,210≈ 15k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,526≈ 20k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3210,964≈ 211k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,210 winners, 6% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$19,800
    Match 5382NZ$565
    Match 4 + Bonus1,007NZ$49.00
    Match 416,210NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,526NZ$21.00
    Match 3210,964NZ$0.00
    Totals0—