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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 April 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 29
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 365 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-04-12All recent draws2017-04-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 15 24 27 29 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

83oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 83 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

254times
1461times
1565times
2457times
27

Prize breakdown · 2017-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 276k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$512.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$505.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$573.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
2953times

Every number was expected about that many times after 364 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 14, 27, 29) with the draw of 19 October 2013 — its closest relative in 364 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 April 2017): 2, 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 13 by chanceNZ$28,701
  • Match 5449≈ 428 by chanceNZ$571
  • Match 4 + Bonus977≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 417,065≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,048≈ 23k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3236,011≈ 236k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 977 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$28,701
    Match 5449NZ$571
    Match 4 + Bonus977NZ$60.00
    Match 417,065NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,048NZ$24.00
    Match 3236,011NZ$0.00
    Totals0—