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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 March 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 5
  5. 13
  6. 36
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 354 of 1,358 under them

← 2017-03-04All recent draws2017-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 5 13 36 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

249times
352times
445times
544times
13

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-08

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$869.7Kto 26k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 205lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$141.4K
  • Match 433%NZ$285.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$273.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$169.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
3656times

Every number was expected about that many times after 353 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 36) with the draw of 15 February 2017 — its closest relative in 353 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

63

The numbers add up to 63 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4, 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 8.2 by chanceNZ$11,342
  • Match 5221≈ 270 by chanceNZ$640
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,985≈ 674 by chanceNZ$17.00
  • Match 48,916≈ 11k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,375≈ 14k by chanceNZ$19.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,985 winners, 195% more than the 674 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$11,342
    Match 5221NZ$640
    Match 4 + Bonus1,985NZ$17.00
    Match 48,916NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,375NZ$19.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—