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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 February 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 25
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 346 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-02-04All recent draws2017-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 25 35 39 40 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

444times
649times
2541times
3552times
39

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$810.1Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.91

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$130.5K
  • Match 433%NZ$263.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$259.1K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$156.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.91 by chanceNZ$1,000,000

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

51times
4053times

Every number was expected about that many times after 345 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 25, 40) with the draw of 17 September 2016 — its closest relative in 345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2017): 39 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 5.5 by chanceNZ$13,940
  • Match 5179≈ 180 by chanceNZ$729
  • Match 4 + Bonus440≈ 450 by chanceNZ$71.00
  • Match 46,943≈ 7.2k by chanceNZ$38.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus9,596≈ 9.6k by chanceNZ$27.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 6,943 winners, 4% fewer than the 7.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$13,940
    Match 5179NZ$729
    Match 4 + Bonus440NZ$71.00
    Match 46,943NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Bonus9,596NZ$27.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—