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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 January 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 10
  5. 17
  6. 19
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 343 of 1,356 under them

← 2017-01-25All recent draws2017-02-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 9 10 17 19 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd50th
  • low99th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

648times
850times
953times
1044times
17

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-28

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 50k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 178lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$624.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$608.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$665.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
1965times

Every number was expected about that many times after 342 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 17, 19) with the draw of 15 February 2014 — its closest relative in 342 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 9–10. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 14 by chanceNZ$24,280
  • Match 5660≈ 462 by chanceNZ$459
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,154≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 424,008≈ 18k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,333≈ 25k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 24,008 winners, 30% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$24,280
    Match 5660NZ$459
    Match 4 + Bonus1,154NZ$62.00
    Match 424,008NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,333NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—