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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 January 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 338 of 1,355 under them

← 2017-01-07All recent draws2017-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 22 29 32 40 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

952times
1357times
2246times
2950times
32

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.0Mto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 194lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 650%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$330.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$316.6K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$355.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
4052times

Every number was expected about that many times after 337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 29, 32, 40) with the draw of 28 May 2016 — its closest relative in 337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 7.5 by chanceNZ$31,091
  • Match 5298≈ 247 by chanceNZ$542
  • Match 4 + Bonus602≈ 618 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 410,654≈ 9.9k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,191≈ 13k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 10,654 winners, 8% more than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$31,091
    Match 5298NZ$542
    Match 4 + Bonus602NZ$64.00
    Match 410,654NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,191NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—