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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 January 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 25
  5. 26
  6. 27
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 336 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-12-31All recent draws2017-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 16 25 26 27 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

443times
1356times
1643times
2538times
26

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$304.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$291.3K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$325.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
2751times

Every number was expected about that many times after 335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 13, 27) with the draw of 12 November 2016 — its closest relative in 335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2016): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26, 26–27. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 7.5 by chanceNZ$35,621
  • Match 5223≈ 248 by chanceNZ$664
  • Match 4 + Bonus560≈ 621 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 49,520≈ 9.9k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,241≈ 13k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 560 winners, 10% fewer than the 621 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$35,621
    Match 5223NZ$664
    Match 4 + Bonus560NZ$63.00
    Match 49,520NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,241NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—