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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 9 November 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 30
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,005

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 320 of 1,359 under them

← 2016-11-05All recent draws2016-11-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 21 22 29 30 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

147times
347times
2151times
2243times
29

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 31Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$7.2Mto 153k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 205lines took a prize
  • Match 615 winnerschance said 8.2

Where the money went

  • Match 614%NZ$1M
  • Match 428%NZ$2M
  • Match 3 + Bonus28%NZ$2M
  • 3 other tiers30%NZ$2.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 615≈ 8.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
3046times

Every number was expected about that many times after 319 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 22, 30) with the draw of 27 July 2016 — its closest relative in 319 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 November 2016): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$66,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus44≈ 49 by chanceNZ$21,640
  • Match 51,506≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$657
  • Match 4 + Bonus3,989≈ 4.0k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 461,080≈ 65k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus86,220≈ 86k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 1,506 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 615NZ$66,667
    Match 5 + Bonus44NZ$21,640
    Match 51,506NZ$657
    Match 4 + Bonus3,989NZ$59.00
    Match 461,080NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus86,220NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—