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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 October 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 36
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 317 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-10-26All recent draws2016-11-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 22 23 30 36 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

1561times
1960times
2242times
2343times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-29

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.2Mto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 4.0

Where the money went

  • Match 624%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 425%NZ$1.1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus25%NZ$1.0M
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 4.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

45times
3648times

Every number was expected about that many times after 316 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 22, 23, 30) with the draw of 6 October 2012 — its closest relative in 316 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 1.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 24 by chanceNZ$23,781
  • Match 5698≈ 785 by chanceNZ$744
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,887≈ 2.0k by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 431,172≈ 31k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus41,868≈ 42k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 698 winners, 11% fewer than the 785 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$23,781
    Match 5698NZ$744
    Match 4 + Bonus1,887NZ$66.00
    Match 431,172NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus41,868NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—