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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 27 July 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 22
  6. 30
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 290 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-07-23All recent draws2016-07-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 18 20 22 30 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

341times
743times
1856times
2044times
22

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-27

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$908.3Kto 23k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 190lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$144.8K
  • Match 433%NZ$298.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$290.9K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$174.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
3041times

Every number was expected about that many times after 289 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 22, 30) with the draw of 27 February 2016 — its closest relative in 289 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus2≈ 6.9 by chanceNZ$69,668
  • Match 5292≈ 227 by chanceNZ$496
  • Match 4 + Bonus533≈ 568 by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 410,294≈ 9.1k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,122≈ 12k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 10,294 winners, 13% more than the 9.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus2NZ$69,668
    Match 5292NZ$496
    Match 4 + Bonus533NZ$65.00
    Match 410,294NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,122NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—