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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 13 July 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 22
  6. 32
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 286 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-07-09All recent draws2016-07-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 14 16 17 22 32 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

436times
1448times
1637times
1749times
22

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-13

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$784.1Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 212lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$126.1K
  • Match 433%NZ$257.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$248.8K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$151.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
3240times

Every number was expected about that many times after 285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 14, 17) with the draw of 13 April 2016 — its closest relative in 285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 6.4 by chanceNZ$17,332
  • Match 5207≈ 212 by chanceNZ$609
  • Match 4 + Bonus528≈ 530 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 47,368≈ 8.5k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,308≈ 11k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,368 winners, 13% fewer than the 8.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$17,332
    Match 5207NZ$609
    Match 4 + Bonus528NZ$57.00
    Match 47,368NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,308NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—