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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 July 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 20
  5. 28
  6. 39
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 283 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-06-29All recent draws2016-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 13 20 28 39 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

535times
636times
1351times
2043times
28

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-02

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.3Mto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 4.3

Where the money went

  • Match 623%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 426%NZ$1.1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus24%NZ$1.0M
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 4.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
3944times

Every number was expected about that many times after 282 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 6, 13, 39) with the draw of 2 February 2013 — its closest relative in 282 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 47% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2016): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 26 by chanceNZ$26,959
  • Match 5793≈ 844 by chanceNZ$672
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,053≈ 2.1k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 432,532≈ 34k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus45,020≈ 45k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 793 winners, 6% fewer than the 844 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$26,959
    Match 5793NZ$672
    Match 4 + Bonus2,053NZ$62.00
    Match 432,532NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus45,020NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—