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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 25 May 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 19
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 272 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-05-21All recent draws2016-05-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 19 29 30 32 40 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

1349times
1954times
2933times
3037times
32

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 415%NZ$293.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$282.3K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$319.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
4042times

Every number was expected about that many times after 271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 30, 32, 40) with the draw of 17 January 2015 — its closest relative in 271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 6.7 by chanceNZ$27,955
  • Match 5206≈ 221 by chanceNZ$705
  • Match 4 + Bonus482≈ 551 by chanceNZ$72.00
  • Match 48,630≈ 8.8k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,761≈ 12k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 482 winners, 13% fewer than the 551 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$27,955
    Match 5206NZ$705
    Match 4 + Bonus482NZ$72.00
    Match 48,630NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,761NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—